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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Las Palmas

Real Madrid
4 - 1
Las Palmas

Mbappe (18' pen., 36'), Diaz (33'), Rodrygo (57')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Silva (1')
Ramirez (45+3')
Benito (64')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid return to the top of the La Liga table in style courtesy of a 4-1 success over 10-man Las Palmas at Bernabeu, with Kylian Mbappe hitting a brace.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Las Palmas.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Las Palmas at Bernabeu.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of the final of their La Liga clash with Las Palmas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Celta Vigo
Thursday, January 16 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 75.37%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 10.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 3-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawLas Palmas
75.37% (-0.438 -0.44) 14.61% (0.133 0.13) 10.03% (0.3041 0.3)
Both teams to score 55.86% (0.76799999999999 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.25% (0.337 0.34)29.75% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.11% (0.407 0.41)50.89% (-0.407 -0.41)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.4% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)6.6% (0.0070999999999994 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.46% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)24.54% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.8% (0.82700000000001 0.83)40.2% (-0.827 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.17% (0.744 0.74)76.84% (-0.745 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 75.37%
    Las Palmas 10.03%
    Draw 14.61%
Real MadridDrawLas Palmas
2-0 @ 9.8% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.88% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-1 @ 8.09% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.21% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-0 @ 6.04% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 5.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.089 0.09)
5-0 @ 3.28% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.06 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.49% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.36% (0.032 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 75.37%
1-1 @ 6.57% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.101 0.1)
0-0 @ 2.65% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 14.61%
1-2 @ 2.99% (0.075 0.08)
0-1 @ 2.42% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.1% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 0.91% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 10.03%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Las Palmas

Real Madrid
87.7%
Draw
9.6%
Las Palmas
2.7%
73
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Las Palmas
1-1
Real Madrid
Moleiro (5')
Carrion (74')
Junior (69' pen.)
Mendy (40'), Militao (88'), Militao (90+5')
Jan 27, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 22
Las Palmas
1-2
Real Madrid
Munoz (53')
Rodriguez (55'), Munoz (82'), Perrone (90+6')
Junior (65'), Tchouameni (84')
Rodrygo (5'), Tchouameni (90+9'), Mendy (90+7')
Sep 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Real Madrid
2-0
Las Palmas
Diaz (45+3'), Joselu (54')

Coco (79')
Mar 31, 2018 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-3
Real Madrid

Momo (36'), Galvez (45'), Navarro (51')
Bale (26', 51'), Benzema (39' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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