La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 23, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Las Palmas2 - 3Mallorca
We said: Las Palmas 1-1 Mallorca
The corresponding match during the 2023-24 campaign finished in a 1-1 draw, and we can see the same scoreline here; Las Palmas are winning a lot of games at the moment, but Mallorca are good enough to secure a share of the spoils on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.57%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Mallorca |
28.36% ( -0.21) | 28.14% ( -0.17) | 43.5% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 45.35% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
