Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.