Red Star

2 - 5

Barcelona

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 53.49%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 1-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.