Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Valencia |
58.82% ( -0.25) | 24.15% ( 0.3) | 17.03% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 43.4% ( -0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.82% ( -1.14) | 56.18% ( 1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.76% ( -0.93) | 77.23% ( 0.93) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.06% ( -0.52) | 18.94% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.54% ( -0.88) | 50.45% ( 0.87) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.54% ( -0.74) | 46.46% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.92% ( -0.58) | 82.08% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 14.64% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 58.81% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.38% Total : 17.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |