

Barcelona4 - 2Valencia
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, April 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Valencia |
62.24% (![]() | 20.97% (![]() | 16.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.33% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.07% (![]() | 43.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.68% (![]() | 66.32% (![]() |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.45% (![]() | 13.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.38% (![]() | 40.62% (![]() |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.53% (![]() | 39.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.84% (![]() | 76.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 10.68% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.68% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.12% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.62% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 62.23% | 1-1 @ 9.94% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.97% | 0-1 @ 4.97% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 2.03% Total : 16.79% |
How you voted: Barcelona vs Valencia

