Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.35%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Alaves |
43.35% ( 0.26) | 29.58% ( -0.2) | 27.07% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 40.99% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.6% ( 0.56) | 65.4% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.83% ( 0.39) | 84.17% ( -0.39) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.9% ( 0.43) | 30.1% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.76% ( 0.51) | 66.24% ( -0.51) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.64% ( 0.28) | 41.36% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.13% ( 0.24) | 77.87% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 14.94% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.23% Total : 27.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |