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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 5, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Alaves logo

Valencia
0 - 1
Alaves


Duro (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lopez (68')
Blanco (11'), Tenaglia (22'), Omorodion (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 4-2 Valencia
Monday, April 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 3-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-0 Alaves

Valencia are in need of a win this weekend after two disappointing results, but Alaves are capable of making this a tricky match. That said, we are expecting Los Che to get the job done in front of their own fans, with Hugo Duro potentially adding to the 13 league goals that he has managed this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.35%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawAlaves
43.35% (0.261 0.26) 29.58% (-0.202 -0.2) 27.07% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 40.99% (0.444 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.6% (0.564 0.56)65.4% (-0.563 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.83% (0.389 0.39)84.17% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (0.43000000000001 0.43)30.1% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (0.512 0.51)66.24% (-0.511 -0.51)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.64% (0.277 0.28)41.36% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13% (0.243 0.24)77.87% (-0.242 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 43.35%
    Alaves 27.07%
    Draw 29.57%
ValenciaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 14.94% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 8.97% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 43.35%
1-1 @ 13.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 12.44% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.57%
0-1 @ 10.99% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 27.07%

How you voted: Valencia vs Alaves

Valencia
78.4%
Draw
13.5%
Alaves
8.1%
74
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Alaves
1-0
Valencia
Ozkacar (6' og.)
Guridi (38'), Gorosabel (45+2'), Guevara (82'), Benavidez (89'), Garcia (90+5')

Gaya (45+2'), Diakhaby (86')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 24
Alaves
2-1
Valencia
N'Diaye (14'), Joselu (76' pen.)
Tenaglia (37'), Pina (45+2'), Escalante (61'), Laguardia (90+7')
Guedes (62' pen.)
Diakhaby (76'), Lato (84'), Gil (88')
Aug 27, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 3
Valencia
3-0
Alaves
Wass (3'), Soler (45+2'), Guedes (60')
Diakhaby (86')

Lejeune (28'), N'Diaye (45'), Pacheco (61'), Miazga (61')
Apr 24, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Valencia
1-1
Alaves
Gaya (89')
Gaya (4'), Guillamon (37'), Vallejo (81'), Soler (83')
Guidetti (84')
Calleja Revilla (49')
Lopez (87')
Nov 22, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 10
Alaves
2-2
Valencia
Navarro (2'), Perez (16' pen.)
Lejeune (37')
Vallejo (72'), Guillamon (77')
Guillamon (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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