La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Sevilla1 - 2Girona
We said: Sevilla 1-1 Girona
Sevilla had gained a reputation for being so strong at home but that was simply not the case last season. The Europa League holders are yet to find their feet this term, meanwhile, and we are finding it difficult to predict for them to beat a talented Girona side, ultimately backing a low-scoring draw at Estadio Ramon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Girona |
50.37% ( -0.09) | 25.7% ( -0.09) | 23.93% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.69% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
