La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves4 - 3Sevilla
We said: Alaves 1-2 Sevilla
Sevilla will have been encouraged by their performance against Man City last time out, and they will be desperate to bounce back from their opening-weekend loss in La Liga. Alaves are capable of making this a very tough match for Sevilla, but we are backing the visitors to secure all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Sevilla |
40.85% ( 1.09) | 27.85% ( 0.56) | 31.3% ( -1.65) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( -2.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
