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La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Valencia logo

Sevilla
1 - 2
Valencia

En-Nesyri (69')
Rakitic (14'), Gudelj (45'), Acuna (90+7')
Bade (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diakhaby (60'), Guerra (88')
Diakhaby (10'), Ozkacar (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, August 6 at 3am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Valencia

Two of the last three league meetings between these two sides have finished level, while Sevilla are unbeaten against Valencia in Spain's top light since March 2019. We came close to backing a draw here, but Sevilla should be winning this type of match at Estadio Ramon considering their quality, so a home success is being predicted. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawValencia
38.77% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 27.95% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 33.29% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.69% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)58.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (0.013999999999999 0.01)78.89% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.19% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (0.033000000000001 0.03)65.13% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.65% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)69.19% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 38.76%
    Valencia 33.28%
    Draw 27.94%
SevillaDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.73%
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 10.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.28%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Valencia

Sevilla
85.1%
Draw
10.3%
Valencia
4.6%
87
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
Valencia
0-2
Sevilla
Bade (55'), Suso (75')
Oct 18, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Sevilla
1-1
Valencia
Lamela (86')
Cavani (6')
Jan 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 21
Valencia
1-1
Sevilla
Guedes (44')
Gaya (45+2'), Lato (86')
Gaya (89')
Diakhaby (7' og.)
Acuna (45+2'), Montiel (45+4'), Torres (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 6
Sevilla
3-1
Valencia
Papu (3'), Lato (15' og.), Mir (22')
Lamela (17'), Montiel (30'), Mir (35'), Jordan (51'), Gudelj (82')
Duro (31')
Lato (17'), Alderete (17'), Diakhaby (68')
May 12, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 36
Sevilla
1-0
Valencia
En-Nesyri (66')
Escudero (7'), Gudelj (37')

Soler (80'), Paulista (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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