La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal3 - 4Barcelona
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Barcelona.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Sunday's La Liga affair with Villarreal.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Villarreal.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Villarreal
Friday, August 18 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Friday, August 18 at 6.30pm in La Liga
We said: Villarreal 2-2 Barcelona
Barcelona found it difficult against Getafe on the opening weekend of the season, and this has the potential to be a very difficult game for Xavi's side. Villarreal have a lot of talent all over the pitch, and we are actually backing a high-scoring draw in Sunday's contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Barcelona |
29.72% ( 2.54) | 24.35% ( 0.13) | 45.93% ( -2.67) |
| Both teams to score 57.69% ( 1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.26% ( 1.01) | 44.74% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.9% ( 0.97) | 67.1% ( -0.97) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( 2.34) | 28.23% ( -2.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.06% ( 2.86) | 63.94% ( -2.86) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( -0.7) | 19.61% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.45% ( -1.15) | 51.55% ( 1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Villarreal 29.72%
Barcelona 45.93%
Draw 24.35%
| Villarreal | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.37)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.72% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.25)0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.61)0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.67)1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.46)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 45.93% |
How you voted: Villarreal vs Barcelona
Villarreal
12.2%Draw
19.8%Barcelona
67.9%131
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 8pm
Oct 20, 2022 8pm
Form Guide
Build-up
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