Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Granada had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Granada |
57.63% | 23.14% | 19.23% |
Both teams to score 50.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.68% | 49.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.63% | 71.37% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.14% | 16.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.13% | 46.86% |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.19% | 39.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.52% | 76.47% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 11.94% 2-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 5.82% 4-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 1% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.94% Total : 57.62% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 6.71% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.18% 1-2 @ 5.07% 0-2 @ 2.85% 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.19% Total : 19.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |