Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 52.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.