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Championship header 2

League One
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Northampton Town

Fleetwood
2 - 0
Northampton

Omochere (5'), Lawal (30')
Mayor (65'), Broom (71'), Lawal (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McGowan (17'), Bowie (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 0-2 Northampton Town

 While the hosts certainly have far more to play for in Saturday's contest, it is the Cobblers who are enjoying an impressive end to the campaign while Fleetwood are failing to build any momentum in their unlikely survival bid. Despite home advantage and the need for three points, we envisage Charlie Adam's side succumbing to another defeat at Highbury at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawNorthampton Town
50.21% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12) 23.57% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 26.21% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 57.64% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.42% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)43.58% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.03% (-0.1 -0.1)65.97% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)17.45% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.08% (-0.143 -0.14)47.91% (0.14299999999999 0.14)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (0.009999999999998 0.01)66.32% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 50.21%
    Northampton Town 26.21%
    Draw 23.57%
Fleetwood TownDrawNorthampton Town
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 50.21%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 26.21%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Northampton
3-0
Fleetwood
Pinnock (27', 90'), Hoskins (31' pen.)
Bowie (49')

Mayor (22')
> Preview
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fleetwood
0-0
Northampton
Morris (88')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
1-0
Fleetwood
Bolger (47')
Sowerby (13'), McWilliams (43'), Harriman (60'), Arnold (90+3')

Coutts (8'), Camps (34'), Whelan (66')
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
Fleetwood
2-0
Northampton
Dempsey (18'), Bolger (83')
Sowerby (70')

Luckassen (90')
Aug 12, 2017 3pm
Northampton
0-1
Fleetwood
Cole (75')
Eastham (66'), O'Neill (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120
> League One Full Table


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