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Championship header 2

League One
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Northampton Town

Fleetwood
2 - 0
Northampton

Omochere (5'), Lawal (30')
Mayor (65'), Broom (71'), Lawal (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McGowan (17'), Bowie (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 0-2 Northampton Town

 While the hosts certainly have far more to play for in Saturday's contest, it is the Cobblers who are enjoying an impressive end to the campaign while Fleetwood are failing to build any momentum in their unlikely survival bid. Despite home advantage and the need for three points, we envisage Charlie Adam's side succumbing to another defeat at Highbury at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawNorthampton Town
50.21% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12) 23.57% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 26.21% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 57.64% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.42% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)43.58% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.03% (-0.1 -0.1)65.97% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)17.45% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.08% (-0.143 -0.14)47.91% (0.14299999999999 0.14)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (0.009999999999998 0.01)66.32% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 50.21%
    Northampton Town 26.21%
    Draw 23.57%
Fleetwood TownDrawNorthampton Town
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 50.21%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 26.21%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Northampton
3-0
Fleetwood
Pinnock (27', 90'), Hoskins (31' pen.)
Bowie (49')

Mayor (22')
> Preview
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fleetwood
0-0
Northampton
Morris (88')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
1-0
Fleetwood
Bolger (47')
Sowerby (13'), McWilliams (43'), Harriman (60'), Arnold (90+3')

Coutts (8'), Camps (34'), Whelan (66')
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
Fleetwood
2-0
Northampton
Dempsey (18'), Bolger (83')
Sowerby (70')

Luckassen (90')
Aug 12, 2017 3pm
Northampton
0-1
Fleetwood
Cole (75')
Eastham (66'), O'Neill (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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