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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Carlisle United

Northampton
2 - 0
Carlisle

Bowie (33'), Koiki (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Port Vale
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Lincoln
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-0 Carlisle United

 Devoid of any confidence and all but condemned to the drop having fallen short of the required standard for survival for the entirety of the campaign thus far, we cannot envisage Carlisle prevailing at Sixfields at the weekend and instead anticipate a home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Northampton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCarlisle United
45.02% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 25.68% (0.00099999999999767 0) 29.3% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.7% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)22.48% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.97% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)56.03% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.43% (0.012 0.01)31.57% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)67.97% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 45.02%
    Carlisle United 29.3%
    Draw 25.68%
Northampton TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.02%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.3%

How you voted: Northampton vs Carlisle

Northampton Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Carlisle
2-2
Northampton
Armer (67'), Edmondson (81')
McWilliams (30'), Bowie (90+3')
Brough (34'), Bowie (69')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Carlisle
0-0
Northampton
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Northampton
2-1
Carlisle
Sherring (53'), Appere (56')
Armer (50')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Carlisle
2-1
Northampton
Sho-Silva (74'), Gibson (90+4' pen.)
Riley (80')
Lewis (79')
McWilliams (31'), Horsfall (56'), Pinnock (80')
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
3-0
Carlisle
Lewis (41', 57', 67' pen.)

Armer (66'), Guy (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815
> League One Full Table


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