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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Fleetwood

Brannagan (14'), Harris (30', 83'), Dale (43')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Wiredu (35'), Lawal (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Oxford United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford Utd
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Cheltenham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-0 Fleetwood Town

While neither side have been in great form coming into this match, Oxford have picked up almost double the points of Fleetwood this season and are favourites to win this game. The visitors have won one game away from home since November - with a 2-0 victory against Bristol Rovers in February - while they have failed to win away against Oxford United since 2018. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
56.54% (-0.146 -0.15) 22.18% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 21.29% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.53% (0.058 0.06)42.47% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.13% (0.057000000000002 0.06)64.87% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)14.84% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.84% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)43.16% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.23% (0.15000000000001 0.15)33.76% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (0.163 0.16)70.42% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 56.54%
    Fleetwood Town 21.29%
    Draw 22.18%
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.8% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 56.54%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.44% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 21.29%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Fleetwood

Oxford United
68.8%
Draw
12.5%
Fleetwood Town
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Fleetwood
0-3
Oxford Utd

Robertson (37'), Vela (65')
Mills (16'), Bodin (27'), Edwards (60')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Fleetwood
1-2
Oxford Utd
Wiredu (44')
Joseph (62'), Brown (90')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Fleetwood
2-3
Oxford Utd
Harrison (39' pen.), Hayes (53')
Harrison (52')
Holland (2'), Brannagan (7'), Bodin (16')
Brannagan (71'), Stevens (90+6')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Oxford Utd
3-1
Fleetwood
McNally (5'), Brannagan (13'), Holland (69')
Whyte (89')
Matete (40')
Clark (52'), Batty (65'), Matete (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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