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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Fleetwood

Brannagan (14'), Harris (30', 83'), Dale (43')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Wiredu (35'), Lawal (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Oxford United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford Utd
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Cheltenham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-0 Fleetwood Town

While neither side have been in great form coming into this match, Oxford have picked up almost double the points of Fleetwood this season and are favourites to win this game. The visitors have won one game away from home since November - with a 2-0 victory against Bristol Rovers in February - while they have failed to win away against Oxford United since 2018. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
56.54% (-0.146 -0.15) 22.18% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 21.29% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.53% (0.058 0.06)42.47% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.13% (0.057000000000002 0.06)64.87% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)14.84% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.84% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)43.16% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.23% (0.15000000000001 0.15)33.76% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (0.163 0.16)70.42% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 56.54%
    Fleetwood Town 21.29%
    Draw 22.18%
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.8% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 56.54%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.44% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 21.29%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Fleetwood

Oxford United
68.8%
Draw
12.5%
Fleetwood Town
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Fleetwood
0-3
Oxford Utd

Robertson (37'), Vela (65')
Mills (16'), Bodin (27'), Edwards (60')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Fleetwood
1-2
Oxford Utd
Wiredu (44')
Joseph (62'), Brown (90')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Fleetwood
2-3
Oxford Utd
Harrison (39' pen.), Hayes (53')
Harrison (52')
Holland (2'), Brannagan (7'), Bodin (16')
Brannagan (71'), Stevens (90+6')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Oxford Utd
3-1
Fleetwood
McNally (5'), Brannagan (13'), Holland (69')
Whyte (89')
Matete (40')
Clark (52'), Batty (65'), Matete (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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