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League One
Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Bristol Rovers

Forest Green
1 - 3
Bristol Rovers

Savage (12')
Bernard (81')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Marquis (19', 61'), Sinclair (26')
Bogarde (54'), Marquis (69'), McCormick (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Forest Green
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Barnsley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-1 Bristol Rovers

 The hosts are in dire need of a win as the gap between themselves and safety already looks close to unassailable. Bristol Rovers will hope their improved defence can help them towards three points on the road here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawBristol Rovers
36.98% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.59% (-0.023 -0.02) 37.43% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.67% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.65% (0.105 0.11)48.35% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.51% (0.096 0.1)70.49% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.040999999999997 0.04)25.51% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.059000000000005 0.06)60.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (0.069000000000003 0.07)25.26% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (0.094999999999999 0.09)60.02% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 36.98%
    Bristol Rovers 37.43%
    Draw 25.59%
Forest Green RoversDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.98%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.43%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Bristol Rovers

Forest Green Rovers
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Bristol Rovers
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Forest Green
Collins (71')
Evans (80')
Moore-Taylor (55'), Hendry (89')
Stevenson (28'), O'Keeffe (61'), Matt (90+3'), Cargill (90+5')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Bristol Rovers
0-0
Forest Green

Finley (51'), Evans (64'), Anderson (74'), Collins (90+1'), Taylor (90+4')

Adams (19'), Stevenson (22'), Hendry (57'), McGee (77')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Forest Green
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Matt (20', 77' pen.)
Godwin-Malife (41'), Matt (81')
Godwin-Malife (63')

Anderton (28'), Evans (78'), Finley (80')
May 3, 2015 12.45pm
Semi-Finals
Bristol Rovers
2-0
Forest Green
> Match Report
Apr 29, 2015 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Forest Green
0-1
Bristol Rovers
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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