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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
MK Dons

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
MK Dons


Coutts (18'), Finley (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eisa (3' pen.), Dean (90+1')
Devoy (45+2'), Maghoma (68'), Johnson (76'), Leko (76'), Dean (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 5-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 3-2 MK Dons

 While both sides have not been in the best of form, losing their last two matches in League One, Bristol Rovers should have enough about them to get their season back on track with three points. Given the Gas' poor defensive record, it is unlikely that they keep a clean sheet, but Collins's quality in front of goal gives them the edge in what is likely to be a free-scoring game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawMK Dons
45.96% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46) 25.58% (0.313 0.31) 28.46% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 52.83% (-0.889 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26% (-1.208 -1.21)50.74% (1.211 1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36% (-1.074 -1.07)72.63% (1.077 1.08)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (-0.708 -0.71)22.06% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.6% (-1.084 -1.08)55.4% (1.088 1.09)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)32.21% (0.522 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3% (-0.591 -0.59)68.7% (0.59399999999999 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 45.96%
    MK Dons 28.46%
    Draw 25.58%
Bristol RoversDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.74% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 45.96%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.341 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.276 0.28)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 28.46%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs MK Dons

Bristol Rovers
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
MK Dons
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2022 7.30pm
Third Round
Bristol Rovers
4-1
MK Dons
Hoole (33'), Marquis (54', 66'), Saunders (71')
Eisa (79' pen.)
Johnson (45+4')
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
MK Dons
0-1
Bristol Rovers
Evans (76' pen.)
Collins (15')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Bristol Rovers
0-2
MK Dons

Rodman (42'), McCormick (70'), Martinez (85'), Kilgour (90+1')
Fraser (17'), Grigg (60')
Sorinola (45'), Kasumu (55'), Fisher (78')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Gladwin (45+3'), Fraser (63')
Gladwin (47'), Keogh (90+5')

McCormick (85')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
MK Dons
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Healey (16'), Nombe (60'), Agard (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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