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League One | Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Ipswich
3 - 0
Accrington

Broadhead (12'), Jackson (56'), Edwards (90+4')
Burgess (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Conneely (45+3'), Fernandes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Accrington Stanley

Ipswich have been a dominant force at Portman Road this season, and we think that they will extend their unbeaten home run to 11 league games when they face an Accrington side who are winless in six away matches in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 77.9%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.09%) and 1-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawAccrington Stanley
77.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 14.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 7.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 44.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.72% (0.016999999999996 0.02)38.28% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.44% (0.019999999999996 0.02)60.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)8% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.79% (0.016000000000005 0.02)28.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.35% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.22% (0.0040000000000013 0)85.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 77.88%
    Accrington Stanley 7.61%
    Draw 14.5%
Ipswich TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 13.18%
3-0 @ 11.09%
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 7.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 3.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 77.88%
1-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 2.88%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 14.5%
0-1 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-2 @ 2.28%
0-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 7.61%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Accrington

Ipswich Town
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Accrington Stanley
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Ipswich

Leigh (56'), Tharme (79'), Hamilton (85')
Chaplin (76'), Burns (87')
Woolfenden (14'), Davis (20'), Burns (73')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Ipswich
2-1
Accrington
Burns (23'), Chaplin (65')
Carroll (52'), Edmundson (87'), Celina (89')
Hamilton (15')
Nottingham (8'), Pell (58'), Longelo-Mbule (83')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Accrington
2-1
Ipswich
Bishop (50'), Pell (79')
Hamilton (81'), Conneely (90')
Bonne (38')
Norwood (90')
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Accrington
1-2
Ipswich
Charles (4')
Burgess (45+6'), Charles (48'), McConville (67')
Conneely (16')
Wilson (41'), Norwood (45+6')
Wilson (79')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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