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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Accrington
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Presley (12')
Longelo-Mbule (67'), Sangare (77'), Fernandes (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Winchester (16'), Saydee (50'), Phillips (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-2 Shrewsbury Town

This fixture is set to be a war of attrition due to the aggressive nature of both sides, but we believe that Shrewsbury will slightly edge this match, as they pose a major threat from set pieces. We think that Accrington will still cause Shrewsbury some defensive issues, but will be unable to continue their six-match unbeaten streak against the away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawShrewsbury Town
31.48% (0.295 0.3) 28.02% (0.184 0.18) 40.51% (-0.475 -0.48)
Both teams to score 47.04% (-0.418 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.14% (-0.57400000000001 -0.57)58.87% (0.58 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64% (-0.447 -0.45)79.37% (0.452 0.45)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)34.23% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)70.93% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (-0.54000000000001 -0.54)28.48% (0.544 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (-0.685 -0.69)64.25% (0.69 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 31.48%
    Shrewsbury Town 40.5%
    Draw 28.01%
Accrington StanleyDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.48%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 12.24% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.69% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 40.5%

How you voted: Accrington vs Shrewsbury

Accrington Stanley
41.7%
Draw
0.0%
Shrewsbury Town
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Shrewsbury
Mumbongo (15')
Morgan (65')

Vela (25'), Pennington (44'), Cosgrove (45+2'), Nurse (62')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-1
Shrewsbury
Conneely (47')
Conneely (43'), Barclay (45+1'), Morgan (80')
Whalley (77')
Main (56')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
2-2
Accrington
Pierre (26'), Whalley (86')
Norburn (33'), Williams (38'), Walker (41'), Vela (57')
Pritchard (24'), Cassidy (90+4' pen.)
Hughes (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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