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Accrington Stanley
EFL Trophy | Semi-Finals
Feb 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Wham Stadium
Bolton logo

Accrington
0 - 2
Bolton


Presley (21'), Coyle (41')
McConville (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kachunga (82'), Morley (84')
Trafford (52'), Morley (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Accrington Stanley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Bolton Wanderers

 With a place at Wembley on the line, both sides will be very keen, but Bolton just have that extra bit of quality, which was demonstrated in the clash at the same ground earlier this season. Accrington will give it their all, but the two teams are at opposite ends of the League One table for a reason, and the visitors should ultimately be comfortable winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBolton Wanderers
19.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 22.25% (0.00099999999999767 0) 58.55% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.030999999999999 0.03)45.66% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.030000000000001 0.03)67.98% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.28% (0.042000000000002 0.04)37.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.51% (0.041 0.04)74.49% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)15.27% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.04% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)43.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 19.2%
    Bolton Wanderers 58.55%
    Draw 22.25%
Accrington StanleyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 2.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.67% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 19.2%
1-1 @ 10.55%
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 10.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.37% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
0-5 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 58.55%

How you voted: Accrington vs Bolton

Accrington Stanley
20.9%
Draw
13.4%
Bolton Wanderers
65.7%
67
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Accrington
2-3
Bolton
Whalley (8'), Johnston (48' og.)
Clark (42')
Rodgers (56' og.), Lee (71'), Afolayan (75')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Bolton
3-1
Accrington
Afolayan (42'), Dadi Bodvarsson (69', 89')
Afolayan (29'), John (45+3'), Amaechi (65'), Williams (70')
Bagueloc'rich (50')
Clark (41'), McConville (45+3'), Bagueloc'rich (45+5'), Conneely (76')
Longelo-Mbule (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Bolton
Leigh (20')
Amankwah (45'), Coyle (50'), Savin (63')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Bolton
0-0
Accrington

Bryan (73')
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 32
Accrington
2-0
Bolton
Zanzala (10'), Bishop (85')

Graham (36')
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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