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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Accrington

Bodin (8')
Joseph (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Adedoyin (64'), Presley (85')
Coyle (57'), Hamilton (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Oxford United and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 3-0 Accrington Stanley

 Oxford can play without the fear of relegation on Sunday, and against an Accrington outfit who are destined for the drop, Manning's men could put on a real show for their home faithful. There is an air of regret from Stanley boss Coleman on how he operated during this season in terms of player incomings, and we cannot envisage such a negative backdrop reaping a result at the Kassam Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
60.65% (-0.109 -0.11) 21.7% (0.00099999999999767 0) 17.64% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 51.7% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.17 0.17)45.66% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.163 0.16)67.98% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.41% (0.021999999999991 0.02)14.59% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.32% (0.044999999999995 0.04)42.67% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53% (0.228 0.23)39.47% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84% (0.212 0.21)76.16% (-0.21300000000001 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 60.64%
    Accrington Stanley 17.64%
    Draw 21.7%
Oxford UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.66% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.84% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 60.64%
1-1 @ 10.3%
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.49% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 17.64%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Accrington

Oxford United
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Accrington Stanley
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Accrington
1-1
Oxford Utd
Hamilton (84')
Tharme (35')
Henry (58')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 32
Accrington
2-0
Oxford Utd
O'Sullivan (28'), Hamilton (90+1')
Leigh (47')

Williams (49'), Brannagan (75')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 10
Oxford Utd
5-1
Accrington
Holland (18', 24'), Taylor (50'), Sykes (71'), Nottingham (90+4' og.)
Seddon (56'), Kane (79'), Moore (81'), Williams (90')
Hamilton (61')
Sykes (45+3'), McConville (81')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
gameweek 40
Oxford Utd
1-2
Accrington
Lee (25')
Lee (54'), Taylor (88')
Smyth (16'), Nottingham (70')
Butcher (58'), Rodgers (87')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
gameweek 3
Accrington
1-4
Oxford Utd
Cassidy (71' pen.)
Rodgers (44'), Hughes (55'), Pritchard (90')
Charles (75')
Henry (45'), Pritchard (73' og.), Taylor (85', 88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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