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League One
Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Oxford United

Port Vale
0 - 0
Oxford Utd


Massey (44'), Smith (45'), Benning (45+4'), Pett (60'), Worrall (74')
Politic (90+2')
FT

McGuane (58'), Joseph (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Port Vale and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Port Vale
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Sheff Weds
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Oxford United

 Oxford will be desperate to claim their first win since January, but having failed to win on their last four trips to Vale Park, we think that they will have to settle for a point on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawOxford United
35.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 28.13%36.57% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.26% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.95% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)30.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)67.01% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 35.3%
    Oxford United 36.57%
    Draw 28.12%
Port ValeDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.3%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 11.44%
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 36.57%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Oxford Utd

Port Vale
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Oxford United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
4-0
Port Vale
Bodin (10', 62'), Taylor (27', 66')

Robinson (35')
Nov 3, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-0
Oxford Utd
Gunning (16'), Pope (53')
Myers-Harness (10'), Denton (36')

Thomas (42'), Martin (89')
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-0
Port Vale
Ruffles (14'), Maguire (82')

Streete (40')
Oct 22, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
2-2
Oxford Utd
Cicilia (54'), Taylor (59' pen.)
Mac-Intosch (26')
Dunkley (11'), Crowley (19')
Nelson (58'), Dunkley (65')
Mar 2, 2013 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Port Vale
Smalley (76'), Potter (10')
Batt (42'), Parker (54'), Capaldi (90')
Loft (16')
Jones (54'), Myrie-Williams (81'), Loft (85')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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