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League One
Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Oxford United

Accrington
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Hamilton (84')
Tharme (35'), Astley (57'), Leigh (62'), Pritchard (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Henry (58')
Brown (73'), Murphy (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Barnet
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-1 Exeter
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-3 Oxford United

 Accrington Stanley have certainly improved in recent weeks and will look to kick on with another positive result on Saturday, but Oxford United possess more attacking quality, and we see them having enough to continue their unbeaten run and return home with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawOxford United
28.1% (0.198 0.2) 24.77% (-0.202 -0.2) 47.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.21% (0.809 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (0.991 0.99)47.51% (-0.989 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (0.91 0.91)69.72% (-0.91 -0.91)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (0.66499999999999 0.66)30.8% (-0.665 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (0.776 0.78)67.08% (-0.776 -0.78)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (0.405 0.41)20.21% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.47% (0.642 0.64)52.53% (-0.641 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 28.1%
    Oxford United 47.13%
    Draw 24.77%
Accrington StanleyDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.9% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.69% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.1%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 9.96% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.072 0.07)
0-3 @ 4.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.094 0.09)
1-4 @ 2% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.13%

How you voted: Accrington vs Oxford Utd

Accrington Stanley
17.9%
Draw
23.1%
Oxford United
59.0%
39
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Accrington
2-0
Oxford Utd
O'Sullivan (28'), Hamilton (90+1')
Leigh (47')

Williams (49'), Brannagan (75')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
5-1
Accrington
Holland (18', 24'), Taylor (50'), Sykes (71'), Nottingham (90+4' og.)
Seddon (56'), Kane (79'), Moore (81'), Williams (90')
Hamilton (61')
Sykes (45+3'), McConville (81')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
Accrington
Lee (25')
Lee (54'), Taylor (88')
Smyth (16'), Nottingham (70')
Butcher (58'), Rodgers (87')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Accrington
1-4
Oxford Utd
Cassidy (71' pen.)
Rodgers (44'), Hughes (55'), Pritchard (90')
Charles (75')
Henry (45'), Pritchard (73' og.), Taylor (85', 88')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
3-0
Accrington
Henry (13'), Taylor (50', 72')

Finley (71'), Johnson (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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