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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Bodin (13'), Long (81')
Brannagan (15'), Moore (46'), Smyth (90')
Smyth (90+5'), Mills (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collins (89')
Barton (16'), Martin (48'), Brown (57'), Finley (78')
Brown (63')
Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Bristol Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
50.24% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 24.05% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 25.71% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.86% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)46.14% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)68.43% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)18.41% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.44% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)49.56% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 50.24%
    Bristol Rovers 25.71%
    Draw 24.05%
Oxford UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 50.24%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 25.71%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Bristol Rovers

Oxford United
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Bristol Rovers
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 34
Oxford Utd
0-3
Bristol Rovers
Sinclair (22' pen.), Collins (28'), Hoole (75')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Oxford Utd
Marquis (34')
Saunders (65'), Grant (90+2')

Seddon (29'), Moore (40'), Brannagan (90+3')
Nov 16, 2021 7pm
First Round Replays
Bristol Rovers
4-3
Oxford Utd
Finley (48'), Spence (110', 118'), Collins (115')
Evans (50'), Spence (107')
Taylor (57' pen.), Bodin (91'), Seddon (93')
Kane (4'), Bodin (38')
Nov 7, 2021 1pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Taylor (11'), McGuane (51')
Taylor (32')
Finley (45+2'), Evans (87' pen.)
Finley (33'), Coutts (45')
Feb 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Oxford Utd

Ayunga (90')
Lee (29'), Barker (90+2')
Sykes (82'), Brannagan (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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