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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Bodin (13'), Long (81')
Brannagan (15'), Moore (46'), Smyth (90')
Smyth (90+5'), Mills (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collins (89')
Barton (16'), Martin (48'), Brown (57'), Finley (78')
Brown (63')
Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Bristol Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
50.24% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 24.05% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 25.71% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.86% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)46.14% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)68.43% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)18.41% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.44% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)49.56% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 50.24%
    Bristol Rovers 25.71%
    Draw 24.05%
Oxford UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 50.24%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 25.71%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Bristol Rovers

Oxford United
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Bristol Rovers
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 34
Oxford Utd
0-3
Bristol Rovers
Sinclair (22' pen.), Collins (28'), Hoole (75')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Oxford Utd
Marquis (34')
Saunders (65'), Grant (90+2')

Seddon (29'), Moore (40'), Brannagan (90+3')
Nov 16, 2021 7pm
First Round Replays
Bristol Rovers
4-3
Oxford Utd
Finley (48'), Spence (110', 118'), Collins (115')
Evans (50'), Spence (107')
Taylor (57' pen.), Bodin (91'), Seddon (93')
Kane (4'), Bodin (38')
Nov 7, 2021 1pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Taylor (11'), McGuane (51')
Taylor (32')
Finley (45+2'), Evans (87' pen.)
Finley (33'), Coutts (45')
Feb 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Oxford Utd

Ayunga (90')
Lee (29'), Barker (90+2')
Sykes (82'), Brannagan (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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