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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Port Vale

Bristol Rovers
3 - 0
Port Vale

McCormick (25'), Hunt (45+2'), Brown (85')
Grant (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Debrah (18'), Devine (42')
Debrah (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Port Vale

 Although Port Vale will be looking to end their three-game winless league run, we think that they will have to settle for a point when they face a Bristol Rovers side that have taken four points from their last two home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
48.72% (-1.191 -1.19) 24.07% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 27.2% (1.172 1.17)
Both teams to score 56.82% (0.969 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (0.802 0.8)45.07% (-0.8 -0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (0.766 0.77)67.42% (-0.764 -0.76)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)18.6% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.12% (-0.271 -0.27)49.88% (0.273 0.27)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8% (1.326 1.33)30.2% (-1.325 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.64% (1.558 1.56)66.36% (-1.555 -1.56)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 48.72%
    Port Vale 27.2%
    Draw 24.07%
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.379 -0.38)
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.72%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.224 0.22)
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.153 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.182 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.143 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 27.2%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale

Bristol Rovers
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Port Vale
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Port Vale
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Harrison (22'), Pett (29')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Port Vale
Collins (87')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Port Vale
1-3
Bristol Rovers
Proctor (2')
Hall (47'), Benning (49')
Anderson (10'), Connolly (32'), Loft (90+4')
Taylor (8'), Anderson (22'), Coutts (45'), Grant (51'), Finley (77'), Anderson (90+5')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Port Vale
Collins (56')
Whelan (86'), Pitman (90+5')
Finley (15'), Harries (77')
Garrity (31', 33')
Jones (58'), Politic (60')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2019 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke (16'), Nichols (62' pen.), Rodman (68')
Clarke (22'), Rodman (45')

Hannant (45'), Conlon (54')
Conlon (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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