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Championship header 2

League One
Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Exeter City

Plymouth
4 - 2
Exeter

Whittaker (27'), Mumba (58'), Hardie (70', 84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Collins (25'), Nombe (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Exeter
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Exeter City

 Having come through their last two matches unbeaten, Exeter will fancy their chances of causing a surprise against the form side in the entire EFL. However, we cannot back against Plymouth, even if they may have to work hard to eventually get over the line against their South West rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawExeter City
54.17% (0.205 0.2) 24.47% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 21.35% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.21% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)52.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)73.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (0.072000000000003 0.07)19.15% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.2% (0.11799999999999 0.12)50.8% (-0.119 -0.12)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.86% (-0.175 -0.17)39.13% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (-0.165 -0.16)75.85% (0.16499999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 54.16%
    Exeter City 21.35%
    Draw 24.47%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 12.38% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.33% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 21.35%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Exeter

Plymouth Argyle
89.2%
Draw
10.0%
Exeter City
0.8%
120
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2020 7.45pm
Plymouth
P-P
Exeter
Oct 26, 2019 1pm
Exeter
4-0
Plymouth
Law (42' pen., 83'), Parkes (49'), Williams (67')
Bowman (39'), Parkes (77')

McFadzean (12'), Sarcevic (93')
Oct 3, 2017 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-2
Exeter
 Plymouth win 5-3 on penalties
Edwards (19'), Blissett (75')
Ness (63')
McAlinden (13'), Edwards (70')
Croll (83')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Exeter
Kennedy (14'), Taylor (45'), Jervis (93' pen.)
Carey (75'), Donaldson (81')

Woodman (60'), Brown (74'), Simpson (92'), Pym (93')
Sep 17, 2016 1pm
Exeter
0-2
Plymouth
Carey (6'), Paul Garita (26')
Bulvitis (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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