Plymouth4 - 2Exeter
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Exeter City
Having come through their last two matches unbeaten, Exeter will fancy their chances of causing a surprise against the form side in the entire EFL. However, we cannot back against Plymouth, even if they may have to work hard to eventually get over the line against their South West rivals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Exeter City |
54.17% ( 0.2) | 24.47% ( -0.04) | 21.35% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 49.21% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.93% ( -0.02) | 52.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% ( -0.02) | 73.79% ( 0.02) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( 0.07) | 19.15% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.2% ( 0.12) | 50.8% ( -0.12) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.86% ( -0.17) | 39.13% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.15% ( -0.16) | 75.85% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.99% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.35% |
How you voted: Plymouth vs Exeter
Bulvitis (45')
