Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.