Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.