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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leyton Orient in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leyton Orient.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Leyton Orient |
33.93% ( 0.01) | 25.59% ( -0) | 40.47% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.27% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.31% ( 0) | 48.69% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.2% ( 0) | 70.8% ( -0) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.54% ( 0) | 27.46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.05% ( 0.01) | 62.95% ( -0.01) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.19% ( -0) | 23.81% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.02% ( -0) | 57.98% |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 8.45% 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.93% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.16% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |