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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Charlton Athletic

Port Vale
3 - 3
Charlton

Chislett (45' pen.), Ikpeazu (63'), Massey (90+2')
Crosby (33'), Smith (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taylor (27'), Kanu (59'), Campbell (83')
Jones (32'), Dobson (74'), Watson (87'), Thomas (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Oxford Utd
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Charlton Athletic

There is only goal difference to split these teams right now in the league, therefore this promises to be a closely-contested match. With each team heading into the game on the back of a defeat a cautious approach could be shown which might lead to them sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
39.02% (-0.744 -0.74) 24.83% (0.243 0.24) 36.15% (0.501 0.5)
Both teams to score 58.31% (-0.814 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.08% (-1.083 -1.08)44.92% (1.083 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73% (-1.05 -1.05)67.27% (1.051 1.05)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)22.88% (0.846 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-1.266 -1.27)56.62% (1.266 1.27)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (-0.223 -0.22)24.39% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (-0.317 -0.32)58.8% (0.317 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 39.02%
    Charlton Athletic 36.15%
    Draw 24.83%
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.177 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.256 0.26)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.071 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.312 0.31)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.185 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 36.15%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Charlton

Port Vale
40.8%
Draw
36.7%
Charlton Athletic
22.4%
49
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Charlton
2-3
Port Vale
May (10' pen.), Kanu (71')
May (32'), Maynard-Brewer (34'), Anderson (38'), Hector (90+7')
Wilson (55'), Chislett (56'), Ojo (87')
Ripley (9'), Chislett (50'), Arblaster (76')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Charlton
3-2
Port Vale
Campbell (14'), Rak-Sakyi (57'), Leaburn (77')
Plant (62'), Taylor (90+7' pen.)
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Charlton
Jones (85' pen.)
Tavares (81')
Ulvestad (30')
Holmes (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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