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League One
Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brisbane Road
Carlisle United

Leyton Orient
3 - 2
Carlisle

Forde (40', 45+4'), Sotiriou (58')
Galbraith (56'), El Mizouni (69'), Hunt (81'), Forde (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vela (21'), Maguire (90+5' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-4 Bolton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 3-0 Carlisle United

 This match looks routine on paper due to the recent form and league positions of both teams, and while anything can happen in football it should be a simple win for Leyton Orient. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
47.18% (0.42899999999999 0.43) 26.89% (-0.165 -0.16) 25.93% (-0.264 -0.26)
Both teams to score 47.16% (0.254 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.78% (0.43 0.43)57.22% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.93% (0.343 0.34)78.07% (-0.342 -0.34)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (0.39700000000001 0.4)24.27% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (0.557 0.56)58.63% (-0.556 -0.56)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)37.73% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.51% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 47.18%
    Carlisle United 25.93%
    Draw 26.88%
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 47.18%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.16% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Carlisle

Leyton Orient
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Carlisle United
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Leyton Orient
3-1
Carlisle
Pigott (11' pen.), Drinan (65'), Sotiriou (90+1')
Cooper (8'), Forde (14'), El Mizouni (60'), Happe (70'), Sweeney (90+6')
Garner (50')
Robinson (72')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Carlisle
0-1
Leyton Orient
Sotiriou (21')
Brown (38'), Turns (75'), El Mizouni (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leyton Orient
1-0
Carlisle
Mellish (73' og.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Carlisle
2-3
Leyton Orient
Edmondson (15'), Gibson (56')
Archibald (2', 17'), Drinan (50')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Leyton Orient
0-1
Carlisle

Beckles (10'), Archibald (48')
Archibald (50')
Patrick (5')
Armer (52'), Riley (58'), Whelan (70'), Simeu (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815
> League One Full Table


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