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Championship header 2

League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Fleetwood Town

Portsmouth
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Koroma (7')
Morrell (65'), Raggett (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendes Gomes (15')
Rooney (10'), Mendes Gomes (32'), Earl (57'), Batty (83'), Vela (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 5-0 Aston Villa U21s
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Fleetwood Town

 Although Fleetwood are unbeaten in their previous four away games, we think that they lose narrowly to a Portsmouth side, who have won four of their last five home matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 15.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
64.45% (-0.102 -0.1) 20.37% (0.023 0.02) 15.18% (0.083 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.67% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.7% (0.065000000000005 0.07)44.29% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.33% (0.061999999999998 0.06)66.67% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)13.01% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.46% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)39.53% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.24% (0.151 0.15)41.76% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (0.131 0.13)78.22% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 64.43%
    Fleetwood Town 15.18%
    Draw 20.37%
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
2-0 @ 11.29% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 64.43%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.22% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.18%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Fleetwood

Portsmouth
72.7%
Draw
27.3%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
3-3
Fleetwood
Curtis (45' pen.), Harness (80'), O'Brien (90+5')
Curtis (50')
Pilkington (7'), Biggins (15'), Lane (41')
Lane (57'), Cairns (73'), Harrison (82')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Fleetwood
0-1
Portsmouth
Brown (60')
Brown (24'), Curtis (43'), Freeman (63')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Fleetwood
0-1
Portsmouth
Marquis (16')
Whatmough (36')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Portsmouth
0-0
Fleetwood

Curtis (12'), Whatmough (31'), Williams (34'), Harness (41')

Madden (31'), Andrew (41'), Burns (45+1'), Duffy (90+4')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Fleetwood
Raggett (36'), Souttar (48' og.)
Curtis (68'), Harrison (90')
McKay (19'), Souttar (55')
Whelan (10'), Gibson (43'), Connolly (68'), McKay (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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