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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
35.19% ( 3.21) | 25.93% ( -0.1) | 38.88% ( -3.11) |
Both teams to score 54.35% ( 1.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.02% ( 1.1) | 49.98% ( -1.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.04% ( 0.97) | 71.96% ( -0.97) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.68% ( 2.58) | 27.32% ( -2.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.24% ( 3.22) | 62.77% ( -3.22) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.78% ( -1.12) | 25.22% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.03% ( -1.57) | 59.97% ( 1.57) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.75) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.76) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |