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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
35.19% ( 3.21) | 25.93% ( -0.1) | 38.88% ( -3.11) |
Both teams to score 54.35% ( 1.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.02% ( 1.1) | 49.98% ( -1.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.04% ( 0.97) | 71.96% ( -0.97) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.68% ( 2.58) | 27.32% ( -2.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.24% ( 3.22) | 62.77% ( -3.22) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.78% ( -1.12) | 25.22% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.03% ( -1.57) | 59.97% ( 1.57) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.75) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.76) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |