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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 80.32%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 6.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.45%) and 1-0 (11.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
80.32% ( -0.09) | 13.67% ( 0.05) | 6.01% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 38.51% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.95% ( -0.07) | 41.05% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.56% ( -0.08) | 63.44% ( 0.07) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.91% ( -0.04) | 8.09% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.56% ( -0.09) | 28.44% ( 0.09) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.9% ( 0.07) | 58.1% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.35% ( 0.04) | 89.65% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
2-0 @ 14.86% 3-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.56% Total : 80.31% | 1-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 13.67% | 0-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 6.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |