Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barnsley in this match.