We said: Wigan Athletic 2-1 Stevenage
Playoff-chasing Stevenage will be targeting a second straight victory as they look to close the three-point gap to the top six.
However, we think that the visitors could be in for a disappointing afternoon, as we believe that Wigan will claim a narrow win to record a fourth consecutive home victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.