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League One | Gameweek 30
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Stevenage

Wigan
2 - 3
Stevenage

Magennis (5' pen.), Aasgaard (38')
Shaw (54'), Jones (55'), Magennis (68'), Humphrys (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Reid (15'), Piergianni (66'), Thompson (81')
Burns (55'), Piergianni (62'), Freeman (82'), Roberts (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Wycombe
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 2-1 Stevenage

Playoff-chasing Stevenage will be targeting a second straight victory as they look to close the three-point gap to the top six. However, we think that the visitors could be in for a disappointing afternoon, as we believe that Wigan will claim a narrow win to record a fourth consecutive home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawStevenage
33.84%26.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 39.67%
Both teams to score 52.28% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.82% (0.0039999999999978 0)74.18% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61%29.39% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (0.0020000000000024 0)65.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (0.0019999999999953 0)25.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (0.0039999999999978 0)60.97% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 33.84%
    Stevenage 39.67%
    Draw 26.48%
Wigan AthleticDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.72%
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 10.28%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.94%
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 39.67%

How you voted: Wigan vs Stevenage

Wigan Athletic
53.3%
Draw
33.3%
Stevenage
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stevenage
1-0
Wigan
Presley (9' pen.)
Sweeney (52'), Thompson (67'), Butler (78')
MacDonald (77')

Sessegnon (4'), Aasgaard (13'), Lang (22'), Rekik (55'), Shaw (69'), Hughes (78'), Clare (78'), Magennis (88'), Tickle (90+10'), Pearce (90+10')
Lang (34')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Reading199463028231
7Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
8Barnsley208662926330
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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