We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Stevenage
Neither team is enjoying a consistent run of results at the moment, which means that this fixture could be quite unpredictable in terms of the result.
However, Stevenage have proven to be the stronger of the two teams during the campaign overall, and that could give them the edge.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.