Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for Reading had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.