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League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
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Birmingham
1 - 1
Reading

May (87' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ehibhaimha (42')
Wing (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Birmingham 4-1 West Brom
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Reading

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Reading

 In front of a sold-out crowd at St Andrew's, Birmingham will be overwhelming favourites against cash-strapped Reading, but it is unlikely to be a simple task for the hosts on the opening weekend. The Royals have a close-knit group who will fight for an upset in the Second City, but we feel that Blues' quality will come up trumps in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Reading has a probability of 31.77% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Reading win is 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawReading
43.02% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 25.21% (0.111 0.11) 31.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.85% (-0.392 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.37% (-0.506 -0.51)47.62% (0.499 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.17% (-0.47 -0.47)69.83% (0.46300000000001 0.46)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.256 -0.26)22.1% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (-0.387 -0.39)55.46% (0.381 0.38)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)28.31% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.96% (-0.339 -0.34)64.03% (0.332 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 43.02%
    Reading 31.77%
    Draw 25.2%
Birmingham CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.125 0.13)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.02%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.129 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.77%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Reading

Birmingham City
73.0%
Draw
8.1%
Reading
18.9%
37
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Reading
1-1
Birmingham
Carroll (7')
Jutkiewicz (29')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Birmingham
3-2
Reading
Deeney (2', 23' pen.), Chong (36')
Joao (82'), Ince (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 34
Reading
2-1
Birmingham
Joao (67'), Swift (73' pen.)
McIntyre (82' og.)
Pedersen (31'), Bela (51'), Hernandez (72')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 17
Birmingham
1-2
Reading
Hogan (3')
Bela (30'), Dean (34'), Oakley (38'), McGree (55')
Clarke (70', 82')
Holmes (76')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Birmingham
2-1
Reading
Jutkiewicz (4'), Dean (72')
Colin (22'), Gardner (28')
Meite (35')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815
> League One Full Table


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