We said: Reading 2-1 Wigan Athletic
Last season, Reading recorded 12 of their 16 league wins at the Select Car Leasing Stadium, and we think that they will carry that impressive home form into the new season, which is why we believe that they will do enough to claim a narrow victory on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.