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Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Mansfield Town

Accrington
0 - 3
Mansfield


Bagueloc'rich (6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Keillor-Dunn (29'), Maris (35'), Lewis (75')
Maris (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Mansfield Town

Mansfield are yet to lose this season and will provide tough opposition for Accrington, who will be aiming to return to winning ways in League Two. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away win, but we are expecting the points to be shared on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 49.82%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMansfield Town
26.32% (-0.189 -0.19) 23.86% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 49.82% (0.21400000000001 0.21)
Both teams to score 56.76% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)44.79% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.85% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)67.15% (0.047000000000011 0.05)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)30.73% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (-0.201 -0.2)66.98% (0.20399999999999 0.2)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.94% (0.066000000000003 0.07)18.06% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.03% (0.109 0.11)48.97% (-0.106 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 26.32%
    Mansfield Town 49.82%
    Draw 23.85%
Accrington StanleyDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.55% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.86% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.32%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.13% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.47% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.64% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 49.82%

How you voted: Accrington vs Mansfield

Accrington Stanley
25.0%
Draw
37.5%
Mansfield Town
37.5%
32
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Mansfield
6-1
Accrington
Walker (9' pen., 13' pen., 45'), Khan (16'), Rose (66'), Hamilton (90')
Mellis (28'), Benning (41')
Finley (6')
Conneely (26'), Mingoia (29'), Platt (45')
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Aug 19, 2017 3pm
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Mansfield
4-4
Accrington
Bennett (31'), White (45'), Coulthirst (64'), Arquin (89')
MacDonald (27'), Byrom (42'), Bennett (51'), Collins (85')
Beckles (5'), McCartan (28'), Kee (43', 66')
McCartan (18'), Donacien (22'), Pearson (33'), Beckles (61'), Conneelly (62'), Kee (80')
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
Accrington
1-1
Mansfield
Gornell (56')
Lacey (74'), Kee (90')
Clements (31')
Hurst (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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