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Championship header 2

League Two
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Morecambe

Mansfield
3 - 0
Morecambe

Akins (45+1', 87' pen.), Keillor-Dunn (62')
Cargill (63'), Lewis (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McKiernan (45'), Love (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Morecambe (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Mansfield Town 1-1 Morecambe

 This is a difficult match to call, as we believe there is not much difference between the sides in terms of quality. Four of the last five meetings between the sides across all competitions have resulted in draws, so we think the teams will share the spoils this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawMorecambe
59.42% (-0.102 -0.1) 22.41% (0.044 0.04) 18.17% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.46% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.17% (-0.105 -0.11)47.83% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99% (-0.096 -0.1)70.01% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)15.72% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.19% (-0.128 -0.13)44.81% (0.129 0.13)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.87% (0.007000000000005 0.01)40.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.77% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 59.41%
    Morecambe 18.17%
    Draw 22.4%
Mansfield TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.67% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 59.41%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.4%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.17%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
Mansfield
1-0
Morecambe
Bowery (41')
Sweeney (21')

Gibson (20'), Lavelle (45'), Mellor (72')
Oct 20, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 7
Morecambe
1-1
Mansfield
Phillips (3')
Phillips (35'), Lavelle (50'), Cooney (82')
Charsley (26')
McLaughlin (29')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 32
Morecambe
1-1
Mansfield
Kenyon (86')
Riley (60')
Watts (50')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Mansfield
2-2
Morecambe
 Morecambe win 6-5 on penalties
Pearce (57'), Sterling-James (68')
Smith (5'), Rose (81')
Old (18', 59')
Oates (7'), Tanner (32'), Halstead (79')
Conlan (22')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 2
Mansfield
2-2
Morecambe
Maynard (39'), Rose (72')
Preston (36'), Cook (93')
Preston (82')
Lavelle (4'), Alessandra (21')
Tutte (28'), Buxton (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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