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Championship header 2

League Two
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Newport County

Accrington
3 - 0
Newport

Nolan (24'), Whalley (80'), Adedoyin (90+4')
Shipley (37'), Leigh (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Blackburn
Saturday, July 8 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bristol City 8-0 Newport
Saturday, July 22 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Newport County

 Both teams have undergone plenty of change in terms of playing personnel during the summer transfer window so far, but the fact that they have retained their managers should help settle things down. Accrington will be hoping to bounce back to the third tier at the first attempt this season, and we can envisage them having a little too much quality for their opponents in a potentially entertaining encounter on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawNewport County
34.6% (0.144 0.14) 25.95% (-0.373 -0.37) 39.44% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.19% (1.267 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86% (1.611 1.61)50.14% (-1.609 -1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.89% (1.417 1.42)72.1% (-1.416 -1.42)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (0.86799999999999 0.87)27.75% (-0.868 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (1.1 1.1)63.32% (-1.099 -1.1)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.861 0.86)25% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (1.18 1.18)59.65% (-1.18 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 34.6%
    Newport County 39.44%
    Draw 25.95%
Accrington StanleyDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.366 -0.37)
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.6%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.463 -0.46)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.384 -0.38)
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.44%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Newport
2-1
Accrington
Amond (30'), Nouble (85')
White (66'), Demetriou (88')
Kee (90')
Brown (61')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Accrington
1-1
Newport
Wilks (88')
Nouble (48')
Tozer (90')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Newport
1-0
Accrington
Randall (60')
Rigg (29'), O'Brien (38'), Owen-Evans (96')

Brown (83'), McCartan (91')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Accrington
1-3
Newport
Donacien (79')
Gornell (44'), McCartan (85')
Healey (47'), Barnum-Bobb (62'), Sheehan (94')
Rigg (56'), Myrie-Williams (65'), Sheehan (91')
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Newport
0-2
Accrington
Kee (35'), Windass (37')
Davies (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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