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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Newport County

Accrington
3 - 0
Newport

Nolan (24'), Whalley (80'), Adedoyin (90+4')
Shipley (37'), Leigh (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Blackburn
Saturday, July 8 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bristol City 8-0 Newport
Saturday, July 22 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Newport County

 Both teams have undergone plenty of change in terms of playing personnel during the summer transfer window so far, but the fact that they have retained their managers should help settle things down. Accrington will be hoping to bounce back to the third tier at the first attempt this season, and we can envisage them having a little too much quality for their opponents in a potentially entertaining encounter on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawNewport County
34.6% (0.144 0.14) 25.95% (-0.373 -0.37) 39.44% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.19% (1.267 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86% (1.611 1.61)50.14% (-1.609 -1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.89% (1.417 1.42)72.1% (-1.416 -1.42)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (0.86799999999999 0.87)27.75% (-0.868 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (1.1 1.1)63.32% (-1.099 -1.1)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.861 0.86)25% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (1.18 1.18)59.65% (-1.18 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 34.6%
    Newport County 39.44%
    Draw 25.95%
Accrington StanleyDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.366 -0.37)
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.6%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.463 -0.46)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.384 -0.38)
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.44%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Newport
2-1
Accrington
Amond (30'), Nouble (85')
White (66'), Demetriou (88')
Kee (90')
Brown (61')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Accrington
1-1
Newport
Wilks (88')
Nouble (48')
Tozer (90')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Newport
1-0
Accrington
Randall (60')
Rigg (29'), O'Brien (38'), Owen-Evans (96')

Brown (83'), McCartan (91')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Accrington
1-3
Newport
Donacien (79')
Gornell (44'), McCartan (85')
Healey (47'), Barnum-Bobb (62'), Sheehan (94')
Rigg (56'), Myrie-Williams (65'), Sheehan (91')
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Newport
0-2
Accrington
Kee (35'), Windass (37')
Davies (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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