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Championship header 2

League Two
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Stockport County

Rochdale
1 - 2
Stockport

Rodney (85')
Lloyd (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Collar (56' pen., 58')
Knoyle (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

Stockport County

All competitions
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 0-3 Stockport County

 When it rains, it pours, and it is difficult to see how Rochdale can overcome the high-flying Stockport, even on home turf this Saturday. Stockport will be looking to bombard the Rochdale box, with Madden and Wootton hoping to overload the Dale's defenders with their physical presence. Collar may be a strong contender to score for the third successive game from midfield. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawStockport County
21.71% (-1.354 -1.35) 25.34% (-0.588 -0.59) 52.95% (1.94 1.94)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (0.907 0.91)54.96% (-0.91 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (0.744 0.74)76.24% (-0.74600000000001 -0.75)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (-0.823 -0.82)40.41% (0.822 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.97% (-0.754 -0.75)77.03% (0.752 0.75)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (1.187 1.19)20.77% (-1.189 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (1.836 1.84)53.42% (-1.837 -1.84)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 21.71%
    Stockport County 52.94%
    Draw 25.34%
RochdaleDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.451 -0.45)
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.04% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 21.71%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 13.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.36% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.136 0.14)
0-3 @ 5.43% (0.383 0.38)
1-3 @ 4.92% (0.243 0.24)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.062 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.13% (0.221 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.94%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Stockport

Rochdale
21.2%
Draw
6.1%
Stockport County
72.7%
33
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
First Round
Rochdale
1-2
Stockport
Lund (22')
Jennings (7'), Reid (14')
Mar 11, 2008 3pm
Stockport
2-0
Rochdale
Dickinson (10', 56')
Nov 6, 2007 3pm
Rochdale
1-2
Stockport
Le Fondre (69' pen.)
Kennedy (37'), McArdle (75')
Dickinson (28', 53')
Tierney (35'), Taylor (37')
Mar 24, 2007 3pm
Stockport
2-7
Rochdale
Dickinson (35'), Elding (32')
Nolan (13'), Taylor (51')
Goodall (11'), Rundle (15' pen.), Muirhead (17', 46'), Murray (4', 53')
Crooks (56')
Oct 28, 2006 3pm
Rochdale
1-3
Stockport
Jones (53' pen.)
Stanton (40'), Goodall (57'), Sako (75')
Williams (19'), Robinson (45' pen.), Bramble (80')
Taylor (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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