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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
AFC Wimbledon

Newport
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Charsley (69')
Farquharson (18'), Norman (61'), Lewis (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Al-Hamadi (5')
Currie (63'), McAteer (70'), Woodyard (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Bradford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

 Both sides will be fired up for this affair, as it is a close matchup that could be used as a platform for either side to springboard off and finish the season on a high. However, we believe that Newport will be frustrated to a third consecutive draw, while Wimbledon's record without a win will extend to nine games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
47.42% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 28.12% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.71% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.71% (0.033999999999999 0.03)62.29% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.05% (0.023999999999997 0.02)81.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (0.038999999999994 0.04)61.62% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)41.93% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 47.41%
    AFC Wimbledon 24.45%
    Draw 28.11%
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 14.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 47.41%
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 9.64% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 24.45%

How you voted: Newport vs AFC Wimbledon

Newport County
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
AFC Wimbledon
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Newport
Chislett (58')
Zanzala (70' pen.)
Zanzala (9')
May 7, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Newport
Olusanya (80' pen.)
Dec 19, 2015 3pm
Newport
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Rodman (14'), Robinson (30' og.)
Taylor (53', 79')
Bulman (79')
Feb 7, 2015 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Newport
Akinfenwa (11', 72')

Porter (45'), Jones (70')
Feely (56')
Sep 27, 2014 3pm
Newport
4-1
AFC Wimbledon
Yakubu (18'), Pigott (46', 65'), O'Connor (91')
Sandell (24'), Willmott (54'), Pigott (87')
Akinfenwa (70')
Barrett (8'), Bennett (73'), Akinfenwa (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920
> League Two Full Table


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