Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.