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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Carlisle United |
32.53% ( -1.13) | 28.61% ( 0.22) | 38.86% ( 0.9) |
Both teams to score 45.63% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.25% ( -0.95) | 60.75% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.19% ( -0.72) | 80.8% ( 0.72) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.52% ( -1.29) | 34.47% ( 1.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.81% ( -1.39) | 71.19% ( 1.39) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.64% ( 0.07) | 30.36% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.45% ( 0.09) | 66.55% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.26% Total : 32.52% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.6% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |