MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:23:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Barrow

Carlisle
5 - 1
Barrow

Mellish (44', 67'), Garner (50'), Patrick (72'), Dennis (89' pen.)
Mellish (76'), Gibson (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barclay (84' og.)
Ray (34'), Gotts (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Barrow

 A cagey affair could be in store between two sides separated by just one point in the standings, and neither crop of players have covered themselves in glory recently. Barrow should give themselves a fighting chance of avoiding yet another defeat on the road if they can cut out the individual errors, but Carlisle may have to accept another point on their own territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 46.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBarrow
46.24% (1.06 1.06) 27.27% (-0.397 -0.4) 26.49% (-0.667 -0.67)
Both teams to score 46.51% (0.611 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (1.014 1.01)58.26% (-1.016 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (0.788 0.79)78.89% (-0.79000000000001 -0.79)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (0.989 0.99)25.19% (-0.991 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (1.346 1.35)59.92% (-1.349 -1.35)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0)74.6% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 46.23%
    Barrow 26.49%
    Draw 27.27%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 13.13% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.06% (0.164 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.184 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.104 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.23%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.375 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 26.49%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Barrow

Carlisle United
73.2%
Draw
7.3%
Barrow
19.5%
41
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Barrow
2-0
Carlisle
Kay (69'), Foley (80')
Neal (45+1')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Barrow
1-2
Carlisle
Banks (78')
Farman (65'), Rooney (90')
Gibson (32'), Dennis (75')
Mellish (47'), Dennis (76'), Dickenson (81')
Nov 13, 2021 1pm
Carlisle
0-0
Barrow

Guy (90+5')

Gordon (51'), Stevens (90+5'), Brough (90+5')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Barrow
2-2
Carlisle
Quigley (19'), Brough (24')
Eardley (25'), Quigley (73')
Armer (3'), Zanzala (79' pen.)
Armer (30'), Tanner (52'), Mellish (66')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
1-0
Barrow
Mellish (24')
Mellish (10'), Anderton (70'), Guy (90+1')
Hayden (55')

Quigley (75'), Brough (80'), Hardcastle (90+4'), Kay (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall31196659342563
2AFC Wimbledon30167743202355
3Bradford CityBradford31159740281254
4Notts County30158747291853
5Port Vale30141063932752
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster3115794539652
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe32121373631549
8Salford City3113993830848
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348
10Chesterfield301191049371242
11Bromley31101294140142
12Colchester UnitedColchester3091473530541
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham30118114043-341
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood301010103936340
15Newport CountyNewport31117134147-640
16MK Dons31116144444039
17Swindon TownSwindon32911124648-238
18BarrowBarrow31107143436-237
19Gillingham3097142633-734
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3296172642-1633
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079143448-1430
22Tranmere RoversTranmere31610152249-2728
23Morecambe3175192948-1926
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3157192349-2622
> League Two Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!