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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Northampton Town

Barrow
0 - 2
Northampton


Foley (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fox (54'), McWilliams (85')
Leonard (34'), Magloire (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Barrow
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Northampton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 2-2 Northampton Town

Both these teams score and concede a similar amount of goals, with them having each scored and conceded in three of their last five fixtures. Barrow and Northampton have also each only won once in their last five games, so a high-scoring draw is the most likely outcome - especially with both sides having a pressing need for points and, possibly, being afraid to lose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawNorthampton Town
36.52%28.18% (0.0039999999999978 0) 35.3% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.09% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)58.91% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.6% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)79.4% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)30.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)67.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (-0.012 -0.01)31.64% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)68.05% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 36.52%
    Northampton Town 35.29%
    Draw 28.18%
BarrowDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.52%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 9.77% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 11.23%
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 35.29%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Northampton
3-1
Barrow
Hoskins (5'), Bowie (46'), Magloire (50')
Leonard (54'), Koiki (90+6'), Magloire (90+8'), Guthrie (90+9')
Gordon (13')
Foley (26'), Gordon (45'), White (86'), Brough (90+8')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Barrow
1-3
Northampton
Kay (45')
Kay (45+1'), Grayson (80')
Hoskins (5', 22'), Horsfall (14')
Hoskins (49'), Rose (77')
Roberts (90+2')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Northampton
0-1
Barrow

McWilliams (71')
Amadi-Holloway (51')
Hutton (33'), Taylor (64'), Kay (79'), Rooney (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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9.30pm
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Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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